February 5th Republican Caucus
2nd February 2008
As “Super Tuesday” draws ever closer, in the back of my mind I have been wondering about the possibilities, as I am sure many people are who are considering Republican candidates for President. As many (hopefully) know, the Republican party will be holding a caucus on February 5th here in Montana, to decide the candidate that Montana’s 25 Republican delegate votes will go to. The democrats get 16 delegate votes in their convention, but who they support will not be decided until Montana’s traditional primary in June.
Right now, the pledged delegate votes stand like this for the Republican candidates:
John McCain has 93 delegate votes
Mitt Romney has 59 delegate votes
Mike Huckabee has 40 delegate votes
Ron Paul has 4 delegate votes
Fred Thompson has 5 delegate votes
Rudy Giuliani has 1 delegate vote
Duncan Hunter has 1 delegate vote
A total of 1,191 delegate votes are needed to obtain the Republican party nomination. Given that the last three of those have dropped out of the race, that means that 7 of those delegate votes might be back up for grabs. On Super Tuesday, there are a total of 1,038 delegate votes up for grabs, so no candidate can take the nomination. (AL 45, AK 26, AZ 53, AR 31, CA 170, CO 43, CT 27, DE 18, GA 72, IL 57, MA 43, MN 38, MO 58, MT 25, NJ 52, NY 101, ND 26, OK 38, TN 52, UT 36, WV 27).
A couple of quotes from the Montana Republican party website, in which Iverson answers John Adam’s questions regarding the caucus.
Q: Who is eligible to vote in the caucus?
Iverson:About 2,800 people are eligible to vote, and that’s if we fill all 1,700 precinct positions. All of the voting members of the Montana Republican Party State Executive Committee have a vote. Elected officers from each county central committee have a vote. Each precinct person has a vote. All incumbent Republican members of the Montana Legislature, Public Service Commission and incumbent Republican office holders in county, state and federal offices also have a vote. The state headquarters sent out information packets notifying everybody who is eligible.
and
Q: How will the caucus work?
Iverson:On Feb. 5, there will be a caucus held in each of Montana’s 56 counties. For example, here in Missoula they will meet at the Doubletree Hotel at 6 p.m. They’re having a social hour, and then at around 7 p.m. representatives of each of the campaigns will give speeches. After that, there will be a chance for discussion, and then there will be a vote conducted by paper ballot. Most of the caucuses follow that same model. The only rule we have deadline-wise is that all of the votes need to be called into state headquarters by 10 p.m. that night.
Right, so now, not only do the majority of citizens who consider themselves to be Republicans not get to participate in choosing the candidate that they want to run against the Democratic nominee; but the final votes are not due to state headquarters until an hour after the California and west-coast polls close, which could lead to the vote in Montana being swayed by the outcome of caucuses and primaries in other states. I thought the whole point of having Montana’s Republican caucus in February, well let’s use an Iverson quote again, this one is from last August:
The new proposal would require Montana’s 25 delegates to support the winner of Montana’s Republican Presidential Caucus, an honor that could only be won by garnering broad support from 2,262 party officials representing every county across the state. Under the new, reform plan, those who cast a vote on behalf of Montana Republicans at the National Convention would better represent the will of Republicans from throughout the entire state, instead of their own personal preference.
Iverson has changed his tune since last August, now he is saying:
Q: What happens once you have a winner?
Iverson:All 25 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be required to vote for the winner of the Montana caucus. However, there are a couple of protections built into that.
For example, say Fred Thompson wins in Montana on Feb. 5, but by the time a few other states’ results come in it’s pretty clear that John McCain is going to be our nominee. In that case, our delegates are bound to vote for Fred Thompson on the first ballot at the national convention, but on the second ballot they would be free to vote for whomever they wanted.
Also, we’ve made a provision where Fred Thompson (in that scenario), by way of letter to me, could release his delegates to vote for whomever they wish.
So the good news is, that even though the delegates are bound to cast all 25 of Montana’s delegate votes at the Republican Presidental Caucus to the “winner” of Tuesday night’s selective caucus; the will of the citizens who are members of the Republican party should still cast their votes in the June primary for the Republican candidate of their choice. Then maybe the 25 delegates will finally listen to those not allowed to participate in a primary caucus, and cast their votes to represent who Montana really wants to run as the Republican Presidential candidate.
Posted in Uncategorized, Elections 2008, Republicans, Equality | 29 Comments »
